Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Donato on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Donato wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Donato 44.7% vs Bennett 47.2% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Donato leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 61.1%
Defensive zone
Bennett 75.3%
Neutral zone
Bennett 72.9%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 68.7%
31.3%
68.7%
Donato
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Donato
Bennett
Last 10: Donato 7-3 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Donato
Bennett
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Donato
2
0
Donato
Bennett
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Donato
3
1
Donato
Bennett
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Donato
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (1,218)
46.8% (5,714)
-2.8%
Power Play
46.0% (248)
53.6% (558)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
41.8% (256)
-0.1%
On power play, Bennett has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Donato is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (909).
Donato shoots left. Bennett is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,259).
Home / Away
Donato
Bennett
Home
47.2% (743)
48.3% (3,296)
Away
41.4% (735)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Donato
Bennett
P1
43.8%
48.0%
P2
44.9%
46.5%
P3
43.7%
46.8%
OT
70.0%
54.8%
Final 5 min
47.3%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
44.3%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 07:29 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 08:26 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:07 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 04:36 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 18:58 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 06:19 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 11:38 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 1 | 16:48 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |