Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +17.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Raty wins 62.4% vs right-shot opponents — Greene shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.4% vs Greene 43.9% (+17.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 91.6%
Defensive zone
Raty 91.0%
Neutral zone
Raty 88.4%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 91.1%
91.1%
8.9%
Raty
Greene
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Raty
Greene
Last 5: Raty 4-1 Greene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Greene
0
1
Raty
Greene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
4
0
Raty
Greene
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Greene
Edge
Even Strength
60.0% (505)
43.6% (512)
+16.4%
Power Play
72.7% (22)
46.8% (62)
+25.9%
Penalty Kill
62.6% (99)
40.1% (167)
+22.5%
On power play, Raty has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greene shoots right. Raty is 62.4% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Raty shoots left. Greene is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Home / Away
Raty
Greene
Home
60.2% (354)
47.4% (382)
Away
61.8% (272)
38.4% (359)
By Period
Raty
Greene
P1
55.7%
46.8%
P2
67.1%
37.6%
P3
59.0%
45.2%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
61.3%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
56.0%▼
62.5%
60.9%
Greene
26.0%▼
34.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 15:38 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 04:55 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 16:15 | Offensive | Ryan Greene |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 16:52 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 08:07 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |