Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.3% vs Greene 43.9% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 89.3%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 60.2%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 65.9%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 75.5%
75.5%
24.5%
Pettersson
Greene
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Pettersson
Greene
Last 8: Pettersson 6-2 Greene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
4
0
Pettersson
Greene
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greene
1
2
Pettersson
Greene
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Greene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Greene
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (817)
43.6% (512)
+2.7%
Power Play
54.9% (255)
46.8% (62)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (110)
40.1% (167)
-5.6%
On power play, Pettersson has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greene shoots right. Pettersson is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (409).
Pettersson shoots left. Greene is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Greene
Home
49.1% (607)
47.4% (382)
Away
44.9% (575)
38.4% (359)
By Period
Pettersson
Greene
P1
46.1%
46.8%
P2
48.1%
37.6%
P3
46.8%
45.2%
OT
47.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.5%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▼
53.5%
47.0%
Greene
26.0%▼
34.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 01:36 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 05:46 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 12:11 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 12:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 3 | 19:52 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 1 | 12:31 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 1 | 01:46 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |