Scouting Report
Ryan Greene holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Greene shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.5% vs Greene 43.9% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 61.1%
Defensive zone
Greene 87.1%
Neutral zone
Greene 59.7%
Result
Ryan Greene favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Hughes
Greene
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Hughes
Greene
Last 5: Hughes 3-2 Greene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
2
0
Hughes
Greene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greene
0
1
Hughes
Greene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hughes
Greene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Greene
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (305)
43.6% (512)
-6.9%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
46.8% (62)
-32.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
40.1% (167)
-6.8%
On power play, Greene has a +32.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greene shoots right. Hughes is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Hughes shoots left. Greene is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Home / Away
Hughes
Greene
Home
35.8% (159)
47.4% (382)
Away
36.5% (159)
38.4% (359)
By Period
Hughes
Greene
P1
42.3%
46.8%
P2
28.2%
37.6%
P3
37.2%
45.2%
Final 5 min
27.5%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%
Greene
26.0%▼
34.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 16:22 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 12:13 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 04:36 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 03:05 | Neutral | Ryan Greene |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 18:15 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |