Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Ryan Greene
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +16.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Greene shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.9% vs Greene 43.9% (+16.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 94.7%
Defensive zone
Pageau 93.2%
Neutral zone
Pageau 94.4%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 94.0%
94.0%
6.0%
Pageau
Greene
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Pageau
Greene
Last 7: Pageau 6-1 Greene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Greene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Greene
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Greene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Greene
Edge
Even Strength
59.3% (715)
43.6% (512)
+15.7%
Power Play
68.3% (41)
46.8% (62)
+21.5%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (221)
40.1% (167)
+19.6%
On power play, Pageau has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greene shoots right. Pageau is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (257).
Pageau shoots right. Greene is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Pageau
Greene
Home
58.1% (418)
47.4% (382)
Away
61.0% (559)
38.4% (359)
By Period
Pageau
Greene
P1
55.3%
46.8%
P2
61.5%
37.6%
P3
61.6%
45.2%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
63.2%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
58.0%▬
59.0%
59.8%
Greene
26.0%▼
34.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 19:09 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 18:57 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 19:53 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 11:40 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:40 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 16:18 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 00:50 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |