Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Greene wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greene 43.7% vs Couturier 52.6% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Greene 83.9%
Defensive zone
Greene 85.2%
Neutral zone
Greene 82.3%
Result
Ryan Greene favored at 84.1%
84.1%
15.9%
Greene
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Greene
Couturier
Last 5: Greene 1-4 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
3
Greene
Couturier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Greene
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greene
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (530)
52.5% (11,097)
-9.3%
Power Play
46.8% (62)
59.7% (1,280)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
40.1% (167)
48.5% (1,823)
-8.4%
On power play, Couturier has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Greene is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (565).
Greene shoots right. Couturier is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (5,266).
Home / Away
Greene
Couturier
Home
47.4% (382)
53.4% (7,171)
Away
38.2% (377)
51.8% (7,036)
By Period
Greene
Couturier
P1
46.1%
52.6%
P2
37.6%
52.6%
P3
45.2%
52.9%
OT
50.0%
49.6%
Final 5 min
41.7%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greene
26.0%▼
34.0%
42.8%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 09:03 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 19:41 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:13 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 05:09 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 02:27 | Offensive | Ryan Greene |