Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Hartman 45.6% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 70.1%
Defensive zone
Hartman 68.8%
Neutral zone
Hartman 71.8%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 70.2%
29.8%
70.2%
Zibanejad
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Zibanejad
Hartman
Last 10: Zibanejad 3-7 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
3
Zibanejad
Hartman
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Zibanejad
Hartman
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Zibanejad
Hartman
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (807)
45.1% (874)
+8.2%
Power Play
47.6% (42)
47.4% (95)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (147)
37.5% (16)
+8.8%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (267).
Zibanejad shoots right. Hartman is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Hartman
Home
49.8% (466)
45.0% (515)
Away
54.0% (530)
45.3% (470)
By Period
Zibanejad
Hartman
P1
52.9%
47.3%
P2
51.2%
40.1%
P3
51.7%
48.3%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 18:01 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 07:19 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 19:09 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 15:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 10:30 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 07:40 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:24 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 06:09 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 1 | 14:24 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 1 | 03:56 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |