Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 14 meetings). Schmaltz wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.6% vs Hartman 45.4% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Schmaltz leads 18-16 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 62.3%
Defensive zone
Hartman 75.5%
Neutral zone
Hartman 59.4%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Schmaltz
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
16
(34 meetings)
18
16
Schmaltz
Hartman
Last 10: Schmaltz 7-3 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
9
5
Schmaltz
Hartman
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
5
Schmaltz
Hartman
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
8
6
Schmaltz
Hartman
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (3,431)
45.2% (4,279)
-3.9%
Power Play
47.3% (655)
47.3% (446)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (135)
42.4% (262)
+5.0%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Schmaltz is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,172).
Schmaltz shoots right. Hartman is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,391).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Hartman
Home
42.8% (2,114)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
42.0% (2,107)
43.7% (2,398)
By Period
Schmaltz
Hartman
P1
41.3%
46.1%
P2
42.8%
42.9%
P3
43.1%
46.7%
OT
42.4%
53.8%
Final 5 min
42.3%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.4%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 04:14 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 04:00 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 12:24 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 00:42 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 00:38 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 03:49 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 00:29 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 19:31 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 14:21 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 1 | 14:53 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 02:42 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 12:42 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 3 | 19:48 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 3 | 15:13 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 3 | 14:14 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 3 | 05:44 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 2 | 01:35 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 1 | 01:20 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 3 | 02:27 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 1 | 14:28 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |