Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Hartman wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 45.4% vs McLeod 49.5% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 21-10 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 64.0%
Defensive zone
Hartman 70.0%
Neutral zone
Hartman 61.0%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Hartman
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
21
(31 meetings)
10
21
Hartman
McLeod
Last 10: Hartman 2-8 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
4
6
Hartman
McLeod
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
3
8
Hartman
McLeod
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
3
7
Hartman
McLeod
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (4,279)
50.4% (3,376)
-5.2%
Power Play
47.3% (446)
50.7% (296)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (262)
44.1% (644)
-1.7%
On even strength, McLeod has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,596).
Hartman shoots right. McLeod is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,507).
Home / Away
Hartman
McLeod
Home
46.7% (2,589)
50.0% (2,202)
Away
43.7% (2,398)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Hartman
McLeod
P1
46.1%
50.8%
P2
42.9%
48.0%
P3
46.7%
50.0%
OT
53.8%
37.1%
Final 5 min
46.6%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.3%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 12:02 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 04:21 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 19:38 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 04:33 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 02:47 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 10:05 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 03:10 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 11:13 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 14:42 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 13:47 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 14:45 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 12:55 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 12:42 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 09:55 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 05:19 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 15:57 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 02:59 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 08:29 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 02:13 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |