Ryan Hartman vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Hartman wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 45.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 50.9%
Defensive zone
Hartman 58.6%
Neutral zone
Hartman 55.6%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Hartman
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Hartman
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Hartman 2-8 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
2
Hartman
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
2
4
Hartman
Nugent-Hopkins
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
2
Hartman
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (874)
46.0% (250)
-0.9%
Power Play
47.4% (95)
70.6% (17)
-23.2%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (16)
31.8% (22)
+5.7%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Hartman is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Hartman shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Hartman
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
45.0% (515)
50.3% (175)
Away
45.3% (470)
40.4% (114)
By Period
Hartman
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
47.3%
48.5%
P2
40.1%
45.9%
P3
48.3%
46.5%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.2%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 17:59 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 11:15 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 11:07 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 16:44 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 16:38 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 17:05 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 09:45 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 07:08 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 03:05 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |