Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Hartman wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 45.6% vs O'Reilly 55.0% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 80.5%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 71.7%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 73.0%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 75.1%
24.9%
75.1%
Hartman
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Hartman
O'Reilly
Last 10: Hartman 5-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
4
2
Hartman
O'Reilly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
3
Hartman
O'Reilly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
4
3
Hartman
O'Reilly
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (874)
55.7% (856)
-10.6%
Power Play
47.4% (95)
57.5% (233)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (16)
50.0% (144)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Hartman is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Hartman shoots right. O'Reilly is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (530).
Home / Away
Hartman
O'Reilly
Home
45.0% (515)
55.5% (616)
Away
45.3% (470)
55.3% (617)
By Period
Hartman
O'Reilly
P1
47.3%
58.1%
P2
40.1%
54.9%
P3
48.3%
53.9%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.2%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 15:48 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 15:14 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 09:07 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 08:52 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 06:06 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 19:38 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 19:15 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 16:45 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 10:33 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 10:01 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 09:26 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 18:29 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 01:40 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:33 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 03:56 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 09:14 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |