Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings). Hartman wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 45.4% vs Steel 50.2% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 22-14 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 67.5%
Defensive zone
Hartman 67.7%
Neutral zone
Hartman 78.4%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
Hartman
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
22
(36 meetings)
14
22
Hartman
Steel
Last 10: Hartman 4-6 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
5
6
Hartman
Steel
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
4
9
Hartman
Steel
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
5
7
Hartman
Steel
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (4,279)
50.6% (2,876)
-5.4%
Power Play
47.3% (446)
62.6% (179)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (262)
37.4% (254)
+5.0%
On power play, Steel has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,596).
Hartman shoots right. Steel is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,237).
Home / Away
Hartman
Steel
Home
46.7% (2,589)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
43.7% (2,398)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Hartman
Steel
P1
46.1%
51.9%
P2
42.9%
49.5%
P3
46.7%
49.6%
OT
53.8%
41.9%
Final 5 min
46.6%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.3%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 00:56 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 09:49 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 01:57 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 2 | 16:54 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 1 | 19:51 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 1 | 19:13 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 05:28 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 3 | 12:15 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 3 | 12:04 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 3 | 04:39 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 3 | 00:34 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 2 | 10:22 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 1 | 18:25 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| May 7, 2021 | 3 | 12:20 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| May 7, 2021 | 2 | 14:00 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| May 7, 2021 | 1 | 07:19 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| May 7, 2021 | 1 | 07:11 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| May 7, 2021 | 1 | 03:56 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 2 | 07:52 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |