Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Hartman wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 45.4% vs Crosby 53.5% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 59.4%
Defensive zone
Hartman 76.4%
Neutral zone
Hartman 68.4%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Hartman
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Hartman
Crosby
Last 10: Hartman 4-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
6
Hartman
Crosby
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
3
Hartman
Crosby
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
3
1
Hartman
Crosby
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (4,279)
52.8% (18,031)
-7.6%
Power Play
47.3% (446)
57.4% (4,741)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (262)
47.0% (766)
-4.6%
On power play, Crosby has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,596).
Hartman shoots right. Crosby is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (8,671).
Home / Away
Hartman
Crosby
Home
46.7% (2,589)
55.0% (11,998)
Away
43.7% (2,398)
52.0% (11,559)
By Period
Hartman
Crosby
P1
46.1%
53.6%
P2
42.9%
53.8%
P3
46.7%
53.3%
OT
53.8%
49.6%
Final 5 min
46.6%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.3%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 17:18 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 06:39 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 06:18 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 06:33 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 2 | 01:44 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 1 | 19:36 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 14:38 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 03:32 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 16:38 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 12:31 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 06:21 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 10:59 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 00:54 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 1 | 13:44 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 2 | 14:41 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 3 | 18:53 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |