Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hartman wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 45.6% vs Nosek 48.5% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 64.0%
Defensive zone
Hartman 54.6%
Neutral zone
Hartman 56.5%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Hartman
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Hartman
Nosek
Last 7: Hartman 3-4 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
0
Hartman
Nosek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hartman
Nosek
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
3
Hartman
Nosek
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (874)
52.0% (102)
-6.9%
Power Play
47.4% (95)
100.0% (2)
-52.6%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (16)
29.0% (31)
+8.5%
On power play, Nosek has a +52.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Hartman is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Hartman shoots right. Nosek is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (56).
Home / Away
Hartman
Nosek
Home
45.0% (515)
52.0% (50)
Away
45.3% (470)
44.7% (85)
By Period
Hartman
Nosek
P1
47.3%
45.0%
P2
40.1%
42.0%
P3
48.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
44.2%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 18:47 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 12:49 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 12:28 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 09:00 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 04:17 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 01:11 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 00:42 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |