Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on neutral-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings). Hartman wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 45.4% vs Nosek 53.6% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 19-8 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 88.8%
Defensive zone
Hartman 89.6%
Neutral zone
Hartman 90.8%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 89.9%
89.9%
10.1%
Hartman
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
19
(27 meetings)
8
19
Hartman
Nosek
Last 10: Hartman 4-6 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
6
2
Hartman
Nosek
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
7
Hartman
Nosek
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
10
Hartman
Nosek
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (4,279)
54.9% (2,710)
-9.7%
Power Play
47.3% (446)
45.8% (48)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (262)
47.2% (428)
-4.8%
On even strength, Nosek has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,596).
Hartman shoots right. Nosek is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,227).
Home / Away
Hartman
Nosek
Home
46.7% (2,589)
52.8% (1,656)
Away
43.7% (2,398)
54.7% (1,530)
By Period
Hartman
Nosek
P1
46.1%
52.2%
P2
42.9%
54.1%
P3
46.7%
54.7%
OT
53.8%
75.0%
Final 5 min
46.6%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.3%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 18:47 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 12:49 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 12:28 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 09:00 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 04:17 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 01:11 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 00:42 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 2 | 17:49 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 13:57 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 06:11 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 17:56 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 09:46 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 04:12 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 18:38 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 11:00 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 09:45 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 06:12 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 2 | 12:17 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 2 | 07:15 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |