Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hartman wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Motte shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 45.4% vs Motte 44.0% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 65.0%
Defensive zone
Hartman 55.0%
Neutral zone
Hartman 57.5%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Hartman
Motte
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Hartman
Motte
Last 6: Hartman 4-2 Motte
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
0
Hartman
Motte
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hartman
Motte
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
2
1
Hartman
Motte
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Motte
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (4,279)
43.6% (424)
+1.6%
Power Play
47.3% (446)
41.7% (12)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (262)
37.9% (66)
+4.5%
On power play, Hartman has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Motte shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,596).
Hartman shoots right. Motte is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Hartman
Motte
Home
46.7% (2,589)
45.2% (248)
Away
43.7% (2,398)
40.6% (254)
By Period
Hartman
Motte
P1
46.1%
44.6%
P2
42.9%
42.1%
P3
46.7%
41.8%
OT
53.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.6%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.3%
Motte
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 19:52 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 15:07 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 16:27 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 06:12 | Neutral | Tyler Motte |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 08:51 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 19:29 | Defensive | Tyler Motte |