Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Jost on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Hartman wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 45.4% vs Jost 40.5% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Jost leads 10-10 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 55.8%
Defensive zone
Jost 56.9%
Neutral zone
Jost 50.2%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Hartman
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
10
(20 meetings)
10
10
Hartman
Jost
Last 10: Hartman 6-4 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jost
2
3
Hartman
Jost
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Hartman
Jost
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
5
4
Hartman
Jost
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (4,279)
41.0% (2,016)
+4.2%
Power Play
47.3% (446)
34.2% (73)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (262)
35.2% (256)
+7.2%
On power play, Hartman has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,596).
Hartman shoots right. Jost is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (876).
Home / Away
Hartman
Jost
Home
46.7% (2,589)
41.9% (1,240)
Away
43.7% (2,398)
38.1% (1,105)
By Period
Hartman
Jost
P1
46.1%
38.5%
P2
42.9%
41.1%
P3
46.7%
40.9%
OT
53.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.6%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.3%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 04:57 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 18:02 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 05:35 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 1 | 17:39 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 01:29 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 19:28 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 07:27 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 01:53 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 13:27 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 01:32 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 16:12 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 11:44 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 3 | 19:55 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 3 | 15:43 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 14:59 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 14:55 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 12:17 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 08:21 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |