Ryan Hartman vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 20 meetings). Hartman wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 45.4% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 25-25 in 50 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 53.1%
Defensive zone
Hartman 51.2%
Neutral zone
Hartman 51.2%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Hartman
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
25
(50 meetings)
25
25
Hartman
Karlsson
Last 10: Hartman 5-5 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
4
7
Hartman
Karlsson
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
14
6
Hartman
Karlsson
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
7
12
Hartman
Karlsson
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (4,279)
51.8% (7,849)
-6.6%
Power Play
47.3% (446)
54.8% (1,048)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (262)
44.2% (1,109)
-1.8%
On power play, Karlsson has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,596).
Hartman shoots right. Karlsson is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,455).
Home / Away
Hartman
Karlsson
Home
46.7% (2,589)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
43.7% (2,398)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Hartman
Karlsson
P1
46.1%
50.3%
P2
42.9%
51.3%
P3
46.7%
52.4%
OT
53.8%
44.9%
Final 5 min
46.6%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 10:15 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 13:48 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 17:03 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 16:56 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 13:19 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 05:00 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 04:52 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 04:44 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 02:08 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 1 | 11:37 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 1 | 11:29 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 1 | 08:08 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 1 | 01:36 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 1 | 01:30 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 17:38 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 05:04 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 3 | 15:55 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 3 | 13:29 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 3 | 06:28 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 2 | 07:15 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |