Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Johansen wins 60.4% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 58.2% vs Aho 51.2% (+7.8%)
Offensive zone
Aho 55.5%
Defensive zone
Johansen 51.9%
Neutral zone
Johansen 52.2%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Johansen
Aho
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (625)
48.5% (778)
+11.3%
Power Play
58.2% (196)
63.4% (191)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
50.8% (65)
+1.1%
On even strength, Johansen has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Johansen shoots right. Aho is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Johansen
Aho
Home
60.3% (436)
51.3% (530)
Away
58.0% (412)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Johansen
Aho
P1
61.3%
50.0%
P2
60.4%
51.3%
P3
56.0%
52.1%
OT
56.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.8%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
51.4%