Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 52.4% vs Seguin 55.4% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 14-4 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 75.5%
Defensive zone
Johansen 56.3%
Neutral zone
Johansen 60.9%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Johansen
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
14
(18 meetings)
4
14
Johansen
Seguin
Last 10: Johansen 1-9 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
9
Johansen
Seguin
10 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Johansen
Seguin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
3
Johansen
Seguin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (1,010)
56.5% (712)
-7.1%
Power Play
62.3% (236)
59.7% (67)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
67.2% (67)
44.9% (49)
+22.3%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Johansen is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (363).
Johansen shoots right. Seguin is 63.8% vs right-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Johansen
Seguin
Home
54.7% (655)
58.5% (402)
Away
50.6% (658)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Johansen
Seguin
P1
52.2%
58.4%
P2
50.7%
54.7%
P3
54.8%
54.1%
OT
53.6%
72.7%
Final 5 min
54.0%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 00:33 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 06:59 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 24, 2022 | OT | 03:15 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 17:23 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 05:03 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 04:41 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 01:15 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 3 | 18:40 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 3 | 18:32 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 3 | 15:18 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 2 | 01:01 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 1 | 14:41 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 3 | 19:17 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 3 | 17:04 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 2 | 13:48 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 2 | 08:30 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 2 | 04:51 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |