Scouting Report
Ryan Johnson holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Johnson wins 64.4% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 60.0% vs Seguin 53.6% (+9.5%)
Offensive zone
Seguin 71.0%
Defensive zone
Johnson 58.1%
Neutral zone
Seguin 50.8%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Johnson
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
63.8% (260)
53.7% (8,071)
+10.1%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
55.9% (810)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
63.0% (46)
49.3% (762)
+13.7%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Johnson is 64.4% vs right-shot opponents (87).
Johnson shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Johnson
Seguin
Home
69.8% (126)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
58.6% (186)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Johnson
Seguin
P1
63.0%
52.8%
P2
61.8%
53.3%
P3
66.0%
54.7%
OT
0.0%
54.7%
Final 5 min
65.2%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
66.0%▬
65.5%
63.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%