Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 55.2% vs Bozak 53.9% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 58.6%
Defensive zone
Kesler 71.5%
Neutral zone
Kesler 65.0%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 61.1%
61.1%
38.9%
Kesler
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Kesler
Bozak
Last 7: Kesler 5-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
0
Kesler
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
3
0
Kesler
Bozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Kesler
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (741)
55.4% (719)
+0.3%
Power Play
67.0% (100)
45.1% (51)
+21.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (204)
50.0% (60)
+0.0%
On power play, Kesler has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Kesler is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (314).
Kesler shoots right. Bozak is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (263).
Home / Away
Kesler
Bozak
Home
52.5% (522)
55.5% (443)
Away
58.9% (523)
53.0% (387)
By Period
Kesler
Bozak
P1
56.7%
53.3%
P2
56.8%
54.7%
P3
54.1%
55.4%
OT
16.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.3%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.7%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2019 | 2 | 15:39 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 6, 2019 | 2 | 05:27 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 6, 2019 | 2 | 05:19 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 3 | 18:34 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 3 | 08:20 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 1 | 11:30 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 1 | 01:14 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |