Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 37 meetings). Kesler wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 55.9% vs Bozak 53.4% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 50-33 in 83 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 53.6%
Defensive zone
Kesler 74.2%
Neutral zone
Kesler 71.8%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 67.2%
67.2%
32.8%
Kesler
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
50
-
33
(83 meetings)
50
33
Kesler
Bozak
Last 10: Kesler 5-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
14
12
Kesler
Bozak
26 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
26
11
Kesler
Bozak
37 total
Neutral Zone
Even
10
10
Kesler
Bozak
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (8,095)
53.7% (9,596)
+2.7%
Power Play
60.7% (1,437)
55.2% (1,990)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (1,908)
48.0% (1,094)
+2.5%
On power play, Kesler has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Kesler shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Kesler
Bozak
Home
57.2% (5,732)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
54.7% (5,751)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Kesler
Bozak
P1
56.5%
53.2%
P2
55.9%
52.8%
P3
56.1%
54.5%
OT
46.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
56.9%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2019 | 2 | 15:39 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 6, 2019 | 2 | 05:27 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 6, 2019 | 2 | 05:19 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 3 | 18:34 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 3 | 08:20 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 1 | 11:30 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 1 | 01:14 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 5, 2018 | 3 | 00:35 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 5, 2018 | 3 | 00:30 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 5, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 5, 2018 | 2 | 08:23 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 5, 2018 | 1 | 06:36 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 5, 2018 | 1 | 06:32 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 3 | 18:08 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 3 | 14:45 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 3 | 05:55 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 3 | 05:51 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 3 | 03:52 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 3 | 03:44 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |