Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings). Kesler wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 55.9% vs Johnson 49.7% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 23-17 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 62.9%
Defensive zone
Kesler 86.6%
Neutral zone
Kesler 84.2%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 80.6%
80.6%
19.4%
Kesler
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
17
(40 meetings)
23
17
Kesler
Johnson
Last 10: Kesler 4-6 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
5
3
Kesler
Johnson
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
9
3
Kesler
Johnson
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
9
11
Kesler
Johnson
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (8,095)
49.8% (5,396)
+6.6%
Power Play
60.7% (1,437)
54.6% (885)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (1,908)
42.3% (707)
+8.2%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Kesler shoots right. Johnson is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,203).
Home / Away
Kesler
Johnson
Home
57.2% (5,732)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
54.7% (5,751)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Kesler
Johnson
P1
56.5%
50.1%
P2
55.9%
50.6%
P3
56.1%
48.4%
OT
46.0%
42.5%
Final 5 min
56.9%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2018 | 3 | 13:07 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 17:38 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 17:16 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 05:02 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 04:55 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 18:54 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 18:47 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 17:08 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 05:55 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 14:08 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 11:19 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 2 | 05:26 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 14:41 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 11:43 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 11:29 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 3 | 12:46 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 2 | 05:15 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 1 | 04:49 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 2 | 13:20 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |