Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 11 meetings). Fantilli wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.3% vs McLeod 49.5% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Fantilli leads 18-5 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 60.7%
Defensive zone
McLeod 91.8%
Neutral zone
McLeod 74.7%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 71.0%
29.0%
71.0%
Fantilli
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
5
(23 meetings)
18
5
Fantilli
McLeod
Last 10: Fantilli 8-2 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
11
0
Fantilli
McLeod
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
3
Fantilli
McLeod
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
6
2
Fantilli
McLeod
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,179)
50.4% (3,376)
-5.7%
Power Play
51.4% (210)
50.7% (296)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
44.1% (644)
-13.3%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Fantilli is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,604).
Fantilli shoots left. McLeod is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,809).
Home / Away
Fantilli
McLeod
Home
47.3% (1,209)
50.0% (2,202)
Away
42.9% (1,206)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Fantilli
McLeod
P1
43.8%
50.8%
P2
46.3%
48.0%
P3
45.9%
50.0%
OT
25.8%
37.1%
Final 5 min
43.9%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 18:48 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 10:41 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 11:52 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 09:08 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 13:55 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 19:44 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 19:34 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 19:25 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 12:17 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 08:07 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 07:44 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 10:03 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 08:10 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 14:40 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 08:57 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 08:50 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 13:54 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |