Alexander Kerfoot vs Ryan McLeod
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kerfoot wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 47.9% vs McLeod 49.5% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 51.2%
Defensive zone
McLeod 60.1%
Neutral zone
McLeod 53.3%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Kerfoot
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kerfoot
McLeod
Last 5: Kerfoot 3-2 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Kerfoot
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (2,849)
50.4% (3,376)
-1.6%
Power Play
48.7% (265)
50.7% (296)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (389)
44.1% (644)
-4.3%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Kerfoot is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,125).
Kerfoot shoots left. McLeod is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,809).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
McLeod
Home
51.0% (1,795)
50.0% (2,202)
Away
44.4% (1,708)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Kerfoot
McLeod
P1
47.4%
50.8%
P2
46.0%
48.0%
P3
50.5%
50.0%
OT
29.4%
37.1%
Final 5 min
49.0%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
54.0%▬
53.0%
47.8%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:50 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 01:37 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 08:01 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 04:55 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 11:57 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |