Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs McLeod 49.5% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 20-10 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Evans 56.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 88.1%
Neutral zone
Evans 73.1%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Evans
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
10
(30 meetings)
20
10
Evans
McLeod
Last 10: Evans 8-2 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
3
Evans
McLeod
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
13
0
Evans
McLeod
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
5
7
Evans
McLeod
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (3,740)
50.4% (3,376)
+3.3%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
50.7% (296)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,228)
44.1% (644)
+3.0%
On power play, Evans has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,738).
Evans shoots right. McLeod is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,507).
Home / Away
Evans
McLeod
Home
53.3% (2,621)
50.0% (2,202)
Away
51.0% (2,418)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Evans
McLeod
P1
54.0%
50.8%
P2
50.9%
48.0%
P3
52.0%
50.0%
OT
46.5%
37.1%
Final 5 min
50.5%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 19:58 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 19:45 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 11:39 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 02:23 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 14:03 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 13:51 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 19:08 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:49 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 13:09 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 11:43 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 02:57 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 18:52 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 17:36 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 10:31 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 1 | 19:45 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 12:24 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 08:24 | Defensive | Jake Evans |