Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Geekie wins 42.4% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 47.7% vs McLeod 47.4% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 72.9%
Defensive zone
McLeod 81.3%
Neutral zone
McLeod 52.9%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 64.3%
64.3%
35.7%
Geekie
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Geekie
McLeod
Last 6: Geekie 2-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
3
Geekie
McLeod
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Geekie
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (120)
49.0% (827)
-2.3%
Power Play
48.6% (35)
44.0% (91)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
43.0% (272)
-43.0%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +43.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Geekie is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (99).
Geekie shoots right. McLeod is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (415).
Home / Away
Geekie
McLeod
Home
46.8% (77)
48.5% (619)
Away
45.7% (81)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Geekie
McLeod
P1
42.4%
52.7%
P2
49.1%
43.9%
P3
47.6%
45.8%
OT
50.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
35.4%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.2%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | 1 | 19:53 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 18:43 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 14:20 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 07:20 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 01:22 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 17:54 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |