Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs McLeod 49.5% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 14-7 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 93.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 67.1%
Neutral zone
McLeod 59.5%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 72.3%
27.7%
72.3%
Dowd
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
14
(21 meetings)
7
14
Dowd
McLeod
Last 10: Dowd 4-6 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
12
Dowd
McLeod
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
4
1
Dowd
McLeod
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
1
Dowd
McLeod
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (6,036)
50.4% (3,376)
+1.9%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
50.7% (296)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,638)
44.1% (644)
+0.0%
On power play, Dowd has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Dowd is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,158).
Dowd shoots right. McLeod is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,507).
Home / Away
Dowd
McLeod
Home
51.9% (3,917)
50.0% (2,202)
Away
49.5% (3,922)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Dowd
McLeod
P1
51.5%
50.8%
P2
50.4%
48.0%
P3
50.3%
50.0%
OT
45.9%
37.1%
Final 5 min
50.4%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.7%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 18:02 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 07:14 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 13:11 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 07:34 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 2 | 15:37 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 2 | 15:24 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 1 | 04:11 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 19:18 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 18:54 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 18:30 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 17:21 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 17:17 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 17:47 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 1 | 00:38 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 16:57 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 01:10 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 3 | 12:09 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 9, 2022 | 3 | 19:58 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 9, 2022 | 3 | 03:56 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |