Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 49.5% vs Carrick 52.2% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Carrick leads 15-13 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 73.0%
Defensive zone
Carrick 58.7%
Neutral zone
McLeod 54.3%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
McLeod
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
15
(28 meetings)
13
15
McLeod
Carrick
Last 10: McLeod 4-6 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
3
2
McLeod
Carrick
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
4
8
McLeod
Carrick
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
6
5
McLeod
Carrick
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (3,376)
52.2% (2,544)
-1.8%
Power Play
50.7% (296)
61.3% (75)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (644)
50.8% (435)
-6.7%
On power play, Carrick has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. McLeod is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,507).
McLeod shoots left. Carrick is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,211).
Home / Away
McLeod
Carrick
Home
50.0% (2,202)
51.5% (1,477)
Away
48.9% (2,114)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
McLeod
Carrick
P1
50.8%
51.8%
P2
48.0%
52.3%
P3
50.0%
52.6%
OT
37.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 15:47 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 16:03 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 06:54 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 17:20 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 19:03 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 19:06 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 13:00 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 19:51 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 19:24 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 19:05 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 05:40 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 15:32 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 3 | 12:39 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 1 | 10:45 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 11:55 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 08:17 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 10:12 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 18:01 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 11:33 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 02:35 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |