Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 47.4% vs Monahan 52.5% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 63.2%
Defensive zone
McLeod 70.0%
Neutral zone
Monahan 51.8%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
McLeod
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McLeod
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McLeod
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (827)
53.0% (874)
-4.0%
Power Play
44.0% (91)
54.7% (161)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (272)
47.5% (101)
-4.5%
On power play, Monahan has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. McLeod is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (775).
McLeod shoots left. Monahan is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (710).
Home / Away
McLeod
Monahan
Home
48.5% (619)
53.8% (558)
Away
45.9% (571)
51.7% (578)
By Period
McLeod
Monahan
P1
52.7%
49.5%
P2
43.9%
54.8%
P3
45.8%
52.8%
OT
35.7%
61.9%
Final 5 min
44.3%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
47.2%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 10:37 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |