Scouting Report
Steven Lorentz holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 47.4% vs Lorentz 49.5% (-1.8%)
Offensive zone
McLeod 57.6%
Defensive zone
McLeod 59.9%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 52.7%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
McLeod
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (827)
51.4% (74)
-2.4%
Power Play
44.0% (91)
50.0% (2)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (272)
42.3% (26)
+0.7%
On power play, Lorentz has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. McLeod is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (775).
McLeod shoots left. Lorentz is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
McLeod
Lorentz
Home
48.5% (619)
52.9% (68)
Away
45.9% (571)
41.2% (34)
By Period
McLeod
Lorentz
P1
52.7%
58.6%
P2
43.9%
45.0%
P3
45.8%
45.5%
Final 5 min
44.3%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
47.2%
Lorentz
48.0%▬
48.0%
49.0%