Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 49.5% vs Bozak 53.4% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 54.3%
Defensive zone
McLeod 63.5%
Neutral zone
McLeod 55.9%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
McLeod
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
McLeod
Bozak
Last 10: McLeod 4-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
3
McLeod
Bozak
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McLeod
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McLeod
Bozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (3,376)
53.7% (9,596)
-3.3%
Power Play
50.7% (296)
55.2% (1,990)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (644)
48.0% (1,094)
-3.9%
On power play, Bozak has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. McLeod is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,507).
McLeod shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
McLeod
Bozak
Home
50.0% (2,202)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
48.9% (2,114)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
McLeod
Bozak
P1
50.8%
53.2%
P2
48.0%
52.8%
P3
50.0%
54.5%
OT
37.1%
52.9%
Final 5 min
48.6%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2021 | 2 | 15:46 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 2 | 12:31 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 2 | 08:14 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 1 | 10:39 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 1 | 10:37 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 1 | 05:08 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 3 | 10:45 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 3 | 01:38 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 2 | 02:51 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 1 | 09:53 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 1 | 05:17 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |