Calle Jarnkrok vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Jarnkrok on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.0% vs Nugent-Hopkins 42.5% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 76.0%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 50.1%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 68.7%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 69.4%
69.4%
30.6%
Jarnkrok
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Jarnkrok
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Jarnkrok 3-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
2
1
Jarnkrok
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Jarnkrok
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
1
0
Jarnkrok
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (326)
43.0% (349)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (62)
31.8% (88)
+11.7%
On penalty kill, Jarnkrok has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Jarnkrok is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 38.4% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
53.0% (281)
38.5% (231)
Away
48.4% (186)
43.2% (206)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
51.6%
40.2%
P2
50.6%
36.0%
P3
51.5%
45.1%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
40.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 03:50 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 19:40 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 04:04 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 03:52 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 13:52 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |