Quinton Byfield vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.8% vs 44.7%). Look for Nugent-Hopkins on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Byfield wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Byfield 45.0% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 53.9%
Defensive zone
Byfield 54.7%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.5%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Byfield
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Byfield
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 9: Byfield 4-5 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
3
1
Byfield
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
4
Byfield
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Byfield
2
1
Byfield
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Byfield
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (2,149)
44.8% (8,775)
+0.6%
Power Play
47.8% (113)
50.6% (844)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (230)
37.8% (880)
+0.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Byfield is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,656).
Byfield shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,858).
Home / Away
Byfield
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
45.3% (1,183)
46.5% (5,361)
Away
44.4% (1,309)
42.8% (5,150)
By Period
Byfield
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
45.2%
45.1%
P2
43.7%
43.9%
P3
45.9%
45.2%
OT
40.5%
43.2%
Final 5 min
42.8%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Byfield
54.0%▼
57.0%
44.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 16:11 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 09:20 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 16:30 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:36 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 10:39 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 3 | 03:59 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 1 | 05:08 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 15:53 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |