Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Ryan Poehling
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% vs Poehling 48.0% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 86.0%
Defensive zone
Poehling 64.1%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 54.6%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 67.1%
67.1%
32.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Nugent-Hopkins
Poehling
Last 5: Nugent-Hopkins 1-4 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
3
Nugent-Hopkins
Poehling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (250)
50.4% (680)
-4.4%
Power Play
70.6% (17)
58.3% (12)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (22)
38.8% (219)
-7.0%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Poehling is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Poehling
Home
50.3% (175)
47.4% (422)
Away
40.4% (114)
48.1% (489)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Poehling
P1
48.5%
53.3%
P2
45.9%
40.3%
P3
46.5%
50.0%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
41.7%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 12:20 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 12:05 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 06:10 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 03:35 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 18:12 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |