Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Ryan Strome
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.7% vs 44.6%). Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% vs Strome 44.6% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 21-16 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 51.1%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.5%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 54.3%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
21
(37 meetings)
16
21
Nugent-Hopkins
Strome
Last 10: Nugent-Hopkins 5-5 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
4
9
Nugent-Hopkins
Strome
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
7
6
Nugent-Hopkins
Strome
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
5
6
Nugent-Hopkins
Strome
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (8,775)
44.2% (6,887)
+0.6%
Power Play
50.6% (844)
49.2% (855)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (880)
41.5% (410)
-3.7%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (3,653).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Strome is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,773).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Strome
Home
46.5% (5,361)
44.4% (4,077)
Away
42.8% (5,150)
44.8% (4,075)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Strome
P1
45.1%
43.9%
P2
43.9%
45.4%
P3
45.2%
44.4%
OT
43.2%
46.3%
Final 5 min
43.6%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
44.7%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 17:55 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 17:33 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 14:36 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 2 | 18:50 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 3 | 06:19 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 15:09 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 11:43 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 08:47 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 00:13 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 14:18 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 10:45 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 07:54 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 01:35 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 3 | 10:37 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 3 | 07:39 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 3 | 07:18 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 2 | 04:11 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 2 | 01:14 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |