Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Sam Bennett
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on defensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 17 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% vs Bennett 47.2% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Bennett leads 27-19 in 46 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 56.4%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 61.3%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 57.5%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
27
(46 meetings)
19
27
Nugent-Hopkins
Bennett
Last 10: Nugent-Hopkins 5-5 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
4
8
Nugent-Hopkins
Bennett
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
6
11
Nugent-Hopkins
Bennett
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
9
8
Nugent-Hopkins
Bennett
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (8,775)
46.8% (5,714)
-2.0%
Power Play
50.6% (844)
53.6% (558)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (880)
41.8% (256)
-4.0%
On penalty kill, Bennett has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,858).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Bennett is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,259).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Bennett
Home
46.5% (5,361)
48.3% (3,296)
Away
42.8% (5,150)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Bennett
P1
45.1%
48.0%
P2
43.9%
46.5%
P3
45.2%
46.8%
OT
43.2%
54.8%
Final 5 min
43.6%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
44.7%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 14:45 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 19:46 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 09:32 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 07:23 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 18:08 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 17:55 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 15:10 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 08:48 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 03:53 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 09:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 06:38 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 03:11 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 19:19 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 11:04 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 11:01 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 1 | 01:40 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 1 | 12:06 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |