Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Sam Reinhart
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Nugent-Hopkins wins 44.2% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% vs Reinhart 42.9% (+8.3%)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.6%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 50.8%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 50.5%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
Reinhart
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (250)
39.0% (77)
+7.0%
Power Play
70.6% (17)
35.4% (48)
+35.2%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (22)
40.9% (22)
-9.1%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +35.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Reinhart is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Reinhart
Home
50.3% (175)
35.7% (84)
Away
40.4% (114)
41.3% (63)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Reinhart
P1
48.5%
42.6%
P2
45.9%
34.7%
P3
46.5%
37.3%
Final 5 min
41.7%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
38.1%