Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Samuel Helenius
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Nugent-Hopkins wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Helenius shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 47.7% vs Helenius 46.6% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Helenius 51.0%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.1%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 50.4%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Nugent-Hopkins
Helenius
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Helenius
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helenius
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Helenius
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Helenius
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Helenius
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (189)
44.5% (128)
+3.1%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
0.0% (1)
+100.0%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
33.3% (3)
-3.9%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Helenius shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (132).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Helenius is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (101).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Helenius
Home
48.5% (132)
43.1% (58)
Away
43.4% (76)
44.6% (74)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Helenius
P1
51.4%
49.1%
P2
41.3%
35.1%
P3
48.5%
45.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
46.6%
Helenius
40.0%▼
45.0%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 19:55 | Defensive | Samuel Helenius |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 19:41 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |