Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Sean Monahan
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 30 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% vs Monahan 51.2% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 68-50 in 118 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 81.5%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 66.5%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 76.4%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 75.4%
75.4%
24.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
50
-
68
(118 meetings)
50
68
Nugent-Hopkins
Monahan
Last 10: Nugent-Hopkins 5-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
17
19
Nugent-Hopkins
Monahan
36 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
10
20
Nugent-Hopkins
Monahan
30 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
23
29
Nugent-Hopkins
Monahan
52 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (8,775)
51.1% (11,407)
-6.3%
Power Play
50.6% (844)
53.6% (2,582)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (880)
45.9% (772)
-8.1%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,858).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,335).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Monahan
Home
46.5% (5,361)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
42.8% (5,150)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Monahan
P1
45.1%
51.0%
P2
43.9%
51.7%
P3
45.2%
51.0%
OT
43.2%
53.5%
Final 5 min
43.6%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
44.7%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 14:29 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 15:41 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 08:11 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 07:43 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 10:45 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 07:11 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 04:05 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 01:13 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 19:55 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 07:31 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 07:01 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 09:56 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 17:18 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 06:04 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 1 | 09:35 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 16:15 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 01:42 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 01:01 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 04:37 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 01:00 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |