Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Shawn Matthias
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Shawn Matthias holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthias on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Matthias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% vs Matthias 46.6% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Matthias leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.6%
Defensive zone
Matthias 51.1%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 53.9%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
Matthias
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Nugent-Hopkins
Matthias
Last 10: Nugent-Hopkins 3-7 Matthias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Matthias
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthias
1
3
Nugent-Hopkins
Matthias
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthias
2
5
Nugent-Hopkins
Matthias
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (8,714)
46.4% (1,716)
-1.5%
Power Play
50.3% (829)
56.3% (103)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (875)
41.7% (175)
-3.9%
On power play, Matthias has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,805).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Matthias is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,275).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Matthias
Home
46.4% (5,318)
46.9% (933)
Away
42.9% (5,112)
45.9% (1,069)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Matthias
P1
45.1%
47.8%
P2
43.8%
49.4%
P3
45.2%
41.6%
OT
43.5%
45.0%
Final 5 min
43.7%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
44.7%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2014 | 3 | 02:28 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 1 | 02:32 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 18:29 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 10:57 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 07:49 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 07:48 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 1 | 08:45 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 1 | 18:33 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 1 | 00:28 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Nov 5, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 3 | 17:22 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 3 | 05:45 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 2 | 02:06 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |