Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Sidney Crosby
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% vs Crosby 55.1% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 66.4%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 69.5%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 67.6%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (250)
53.3% (1,025)
-7.3%
Power Play
70.6% (17)
64.7% (249)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (22)
60.0% (15)
-28.2%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Crosby is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (914).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Crosby
Home
50.3% (175)
56.9% (675)
Away
40.4% (114)
54.1% (614)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Crosby
P1
48.5%
55.1%
P2
45.9%
53.1%
P3
46.5%
58.5%
OT
0.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
41.7%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 05:19 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 04:14 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |