Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Tage Thompson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Nugent-Hopkins wins 44.2% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% vs Thompson 45.2% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 50.7%
Defensive zone
Thompson 55.7%
Neutral zone
Thompson 55.7%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Nugent-Hopkins
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (250)
44.6% (661)
+1.4%
Power Play
70.6% (17)
48.4% (95)
+22.2%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (22)
33.3% (33)
-1.5%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Thompson is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Thompson
Home
50.3% (175)
45.7% (411)
Away
40.4% (114)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Thompson
P1
48.5%
47.7%
P2
45.9%
45.7%
P3
46.5%
40.5%
OT
0.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
41.7%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 13:59 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |