Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Tage Thompson

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% vs Thompson 42.8% (+2.1%)
H2H factor Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Thompson 62.8%
Defensive zone Thompson 63.6%
Neutral zone Thompson 63.7%
Result Tage Thompson favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Nugent-Hopkins Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1 - 5 (6 meetings)
1
5
Nugent-Hopkins Thompson
Last 6: Nugent-Hopkins 1-5 Thompson

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
3
Nugent-Hopkins Thompson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins Thompson
1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (8,775)
42.9% (3,540)
+1.9%
Power Play
50.6% (844)
46.9% (373)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (880)
33.6% (265)
+4.2%
On penalty kill, Nugent-Hopkins has a +4.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (3,653).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Thompson is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,029).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Thompson
Home
46.5% (5,361)
44.8% (2,135)
Away
42.8% (5,150)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Thompson
P1
45.1%
44.4%
P2
43.9%
43.7%
P3
45.2%
40.0%
OT
43.2%
36.4%
Final 5 min
43.6%
40.9%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%
48.5%
44.7%
Thompson
36.0%
40.0%
42.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 9, 2025 3 13:59 Offensive Tage Thompson
Jan 25, 2025 3 13:12 Offensive Tage Thompson
Jan 25, 2025 3 08:11 Offensive Tage Thompson
Oct 18, 2022 3 16:58 Offensive Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Oct 18, 2022 2 15:02 Defensive Tage Thompson
Nov 12, 2021 2 19:10 Neutral Tage Thompson