Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Tyler Seguin
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Nugent-Hopkins wins 44.2% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% vs Seguin 52.5% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 65.2%
Defensive zone
Seguin 55.7%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 56.8%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (250)
53.2% (201)
-7.2%
Power Play
70.6% (17)
60.0% (25)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (22)
44.4% (9)
-12.6%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
Home
50.3% (175)
56.3% (126)
Away
40.4% (114)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Seguin
P1
48.5%
44.3%
P2
45.9%
52.1%
P3
46.5%
62.5%
OT
0.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
41.7%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 12:43 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |