Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs William Karlsson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-11.2%)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 59.2%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 65.8%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 53.7%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (250)
58.5% (135)
-12.5%
Power Play
70.6% (17)
80.0% (5)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (22)
44.4% (18)
-12.6%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Karlsson
Home
50.3% (175)
63.7% (91)
Away
40.4% (114)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Karlsson
P1
48.5%
54.4%
P2
45.9%
66.7%
P3
46.5%
51.9%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
41.7%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%