Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Yanni Gourde
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.4% vs 45.5%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% vs Gourde 46.0% (+0.9%)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 67.1%
Defensive zone
Gourde 71.2%
Neutral zone
Gourde 53.2%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (250)
47.2% (687)
-1.2%
Power Play
70.6% (17)
45.0% (20)
+25.6%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (22)
33.0% (88)
-1.2%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +25.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Gourde is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (522).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
Home
50.3% (175)
44.4% (356)
Away
40.4% (114)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Gourde
P1
48.5%
42.2%
P2
45.9%
50.0%
P3
46.5%
44.5%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%