Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kopitar wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.3% vs O'Reilly 55.0% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 67.1%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 68.6%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 67.3%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 67.7%
32.3%
67.7%
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Last 10: Kopitar 2-8 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
4
Kopitar
O'Reilly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
Kopitar
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kopitar
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (749)
55.7% (856)
+0.4%
Power Play
63.3% (215)
57.5% (233)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (155)
50.0% (144)
+1.6%
On power play, Kopitar has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kopitar is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Kopitar shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Home
57.3% (553)
55.5% (616)
Away
56.4% (566)
55.3% (617)
By Period
Kopitar
O'Reilly
P1
56.5%
58.1%
P2
58.0%
54.9%
P3
56.1%
53.9%
OT
57.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
72.0%▲
60.0%
56.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | OT | 04:24 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2025 | OT | 03:30 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 25, 2025 | OT | 03:05 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2025 | OT | 02:52 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 16:46 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 07:14 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 07:09 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 00:17 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 13:48 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 09:30 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 00:55 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |