Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Cozens wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 53.2% vs O'Reilly 55.0% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 51.8%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 69.2%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 58.4%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Cozens
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Cozens
O'Reilly
Last 10: Cozens 7-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
4
0
Cozens
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Cozens
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
2
Cozens
O'Reilly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (634)
55.7% (856)
-2.5%
Power Play
57.7% (97)
57.5% (233)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
50.0% (144)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Cozens is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Cozens shoots right. O'Reilly is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (530).
Home / Away
Cozens
O'Reilly
Home
54.8% (383)
55.5% (616)
Away
52.3% (354)
55.3% (617)
By Period
Cozens
O'Reilly
P1
56.0%
58.1%
P2
51.2%
54.9%
P3
53.9%
53.9%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
53.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 18:47 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 10:32 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 14:05 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 10:46 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 10:38 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 06:03 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 17:15 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 12:29 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |